The Watch List: Robinhood (HOOD)

Is HOOD + LIT a better risk/reward play than HYPE?

May 29, 2026 • Michael Nadeau
The Watch List: Robinhood (HOOD)

Hello readers,

Some of the top-performing “altcoins” of the past cycle weren’t tokens at all — they were crypto equities. And nothing ran harder than Robinhood. The stock climbed 17× in under two years, turning one of our most contrarian buys (HOOD was down 80% from its IPO price in ’22) into a nice win for the portfolio (550% gain).

Today, Robinhood is back in “reset” mode amid a risk-off market, even as the firm continues to offer new, retail-friendly product lines while merging operations with crypto infrastructure.

This week’s report is a data-driven update on the company’s fundamentals, valuation, comps, and ambitious push deeper into crypto and prediction markets.

We cover a lot of ground in this one. We recommend grabbing your favorite beverage and setting aside some time to properly digest its contents.

Disclaimer: Views expressed are the author’s personal views and should not be relied upon as investment advice.

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Revenues & Revenue Growth

The Big Picture

Robinhood generated $4.47b in revenue in 2025, up 52% y/y with a 5-year CAGR of 36%. As we can see, revenue growth has been quite strong during “risk-on” years for crypto — an indication of how critical the asset class is becoming to Robinhood’s future trajectory.

More on what that trajectory looks like on crypto rails, later in the report.

Total Quarterly Revenue

From a quarterly perspective, we can see the immediate impact of the crypto bear market thus far, with revenues down 17% in Q1.

Total Quarterly Revenue by Category
  • Transaction-based revenues (options, crypto, prediction markets, equities) accounted for 58.4% of Robinhood’s revenue in Q1, down 19.7% q/q, but up 6.9% y/y.

  • Net Interest revenues accounted for 33.6% of Q1 revenue, down 12.7% q/q, but up 23.8% y/y. These revenues are essentially “brokerage/banking-like” revenues that come from interest-bearing customer and corporate balances, margin lending, and securities lending.

  • Other revenues (Robinhood Gold subscriptions, listing fees) accounted for 8% of Q1 performance, down 11.5% q/q, but up 57.4% y/y. Gold subscriptions were up 36% y/y (now 4.3 million).

Breaking Down Transaction-Based Revenues
Chart Visualization
Key Takeaways

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